Winning elections is part science and part art. To cross the goal line, a politician needs to connect deeply with voters on issues that matter to them, regardless of those important to the politician. In January 2021, Democrats believed they received a mandate to fulfill Barack Obama’s vision of fundamentally transforming America. It wasn’t hard to see their plan, while having fragile majorities in Congress, was a major miscalculation.
On Tuesday, three debates showed that the walls are closing in on Democrats. It comes as voters prepare to decide if the last two years of draconian COVID policies, accusations by Democrats of supposed GOP racism, extremism, insurrectionism, voter suppression (of which early voting is breaking records), and threats to democracy — are real issues in the minds of voters. Voters also must decide if the Democrat’s semi-socialist agenda is the right direction for America after they added over $4.8 trillion to the deficit with nothing to show for it but rampant runaway inflation they’ve ignored for three months on the campaign trail. Now, Biden wants to add over half a trillion more to cover his student loan forgiveness program.
Democrats have failed to connect with the voters they need to win an election. Primarily independents and more moderate-leaning Republicans. Yet, polls in the summer of 2021 through the most current showed a growing pattern. Democrats were losing independent voters and failing to persuade moderate Republicans due to their extreme policies on COVID and the economy, which largely contributed to inflation, as well as abortion.
Now, Democrats who held leads in September have seen them shrink dramatically. Some analysts suggest this is normal. Yet, is it normal to have double-digit leads shrink to statistical ties in four or six weeks or less? This reminds me of the Virginia races last year that saw Republicans sweep the state from the bottom to the top. It’s the first time in over a decade that Republicans held power in the Old Dominion State.
Debates Expose Democrats
This week, four debates summed up the extremism and denial of Democrats in three races. Let’s look at the main points voters are considering casting a ballot for Republican candidates are likely to take away from the debates as they prepare to cast ballots and decide the fate of governorships and Congress.
Pennsylvania – Fetterman vs. Oz
Some analysts believe the trends for the Senate show the GOP could retake the upper chamber as the Democratic incumbent in Nevada struggles. After Sen. Pat Toomey (R-PA) announced his retirement last year, the GOP needs to retain the seat. While Fetterman’s health after suffering a stroke in May remains front and center, it could be a deciding factor for many voters who witnessed the Democratic candidate struggle to communicate while refusing to release his medical records.
Regardless, it was his flip-flop getting a lot of attention this morning. Fetterman said he had always supported fracking, but that wasn’t true. In 2016, he called for its elimination and had done so numerous times since. Worse, when moderators asked him to explain his change of heart, Fetterman came up empty and couldn’t answer the question. So, did he really change his mind, or was he misrepresenting himself for political purposes? If so, what else has the far-left Democrat said he could flip on? Fetterman says he’s for Pennsylvania, but would he vote with Democrats on extreme positions? In the late summer, Fetterman held a double-digit lead over oz. In early October, RealClearPolitics rated the election as “lean Democrat” and recently changed it to “toss-up.”
Michigan – Whitmer vs. Dixon
The race for Michigan governor could be fascinating. Gov. Gretchen Whitmer (D) was one of the strongest proponents of draconian lockdowns during COVID-19. She even prohibited residents at one point in 2020 from crossing the street to talk with a neighbor. GOP candidate Tudor Dixon called out the governor after Whitmer tried to claim she only closed schools for three weeks. Dixon hit her hard, showing the governor was either entirely out of touch or grossly incompetent.
On Wednesday morning, Dixon stated the governor tried to use an escape clause to avoid her claim. She said Whitmer gave the state Department of Education, who works for her, the blessing to do as they saw fit. In early October, RealClearPolitics rated the election as “lean Democrat” and recently changed it to “toss-up.”
New York – Hochul vs. Zeldin
Crime has become a significant issue in the minds of New York voters as it runs rampant. Republicans blame liberal policies such as no cash bail and castigation of police for the problem. As Zeldin blasted the governor over crime, she stated she didn’t “understand why that’s so important to you?”
The simple statement revealed how out of touch Hochul is with so many people impacted directly by rising violent crimes or concerned about it. The race recently shifted from “likely Democrat” in early October to “toss-up” less than two weeks until election day.
On Monday, House Speaker House Pelosi (D-NY) said in a statement of desperation that she couldn’t imagine anyone would vote for a Republican. She rejected any suggestion that Republicans were gaining momentum and that she could lose the House on November 8.
Arrogance, lack of political awareness, and refusal to listen to voters across America may have Democrats’ backs against the wall.
Stay tuned.
Don Purdum. MPS, Political Analyst
Copyright 2022, ConservativeEra.com
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